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20 Jan 2021

4 overall). 11. There are many ways to play and enjoy fantasy football. It's Week 16. Others receiving votes: Something has to give. Slow those three down, Arizona, and everything is forgiven. 25d ... Matthew Berry's Love/Hate is here to help get a trophy and the bragging rights and perhaps administer some sort of legendary punishment to your league's biggest loser. *I do not own any of the footage or audio in this, it belongs to the ESPN tv network.. That means Mitchell Trubisky may be looking to Miller even more than he already has been, since Miller spends most of his time lined up in the slot. I am in the finals in six leagues this year, including the #DFBInvitational, a 33-man roster, 12-team dynasty super flex league with tight end premium scoring. That's lower than Gardner Minshew, among others. Looking for game mechanics like no kickers or 1/2 PPR, not player behavior like no vetoes or no bad trade offers. Much fun. I should do a whole "My Life with Jameis" thing at some point, because it has been a wild ride. Reward players for "earning" a defensive pass interference call. Matt Ryan, Falcons (vs. Jaguars): It has been a lost season for Atlanta and one in which Ryan has dealt with injuries to himself and to key offensive parts such as Austin Hooper, Devonta Freeman and Calvin Ridley. I much prefer using FAAB (free agent acquisition budget) bidding on players every week. Love/Hate for Week 15. Kenny Golladay, Lions (at Broncos): The Broncos are allowing just 2.5 deep completions per game this season (sixth fewest), an imposing matchup for Golladay with a third-string QB under center. Ban kickers. Draft order the next year, their league fee back, something. He was definitely useful last week and certainly the volume has generally been there, with at least 16 touches in three of his past four games. There is no right way to play fantasy football. Those are the changes I would make universally. Kyler Murray, Cardinals (at Seahawks): If you are in the finals, it's despite Murray, not because of it, as he has been QB27 on a points-per-game basis the past four weeks (three games for Murray). 8. Phillip Lindsay, Broncos (vs. Lions): Averaging just 49.5 rushing yards per game over his past four (and not more than 60 in any of them), Lindsay hasn't had enough passing-game work to make up for the lack of rushing (just eight catches in his past six games). Matthew Berry's Love/Hate for Week 10. Sure, you wanna take a few minutes here or there to think about your job, your kids, the holidays, whatever, fine. Now, he has needed an incredible one-handed catch for a touchdown and a long touchdown thanks to Avonte Maddox being out of position, but however he got there, he now has double-digit fantasy points in three of his past four games, and this is a dream matchup. They are less random than kickers, but still. It has been a tough month of December if you roster Hunter Henry, but against a Raiders team that has allowed the second-most TE scores and the second-most yards per reception to t he position this season, Henry is poised for a strong finish. Marlon Mack looked, ahem, like anything but Marlon Mack last week. Carlos Hyde, Texans (at Buccaneers): I know, I know. Again, it's my list. I should also mention that the Jets average a league-low 2.1 red zone drives per game this season. I should do a whole "My Life with Jameis" thing at some point, because it has been a wild ride. Since Week 4, the Steelers have allowed the fourth-fewest red zone drives per game (2.8) and the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. 1 WR for Tampa this week in a game with no Chris Godwin or Mike Evans. 6. I enjoy the leagues I play in without kickers so much more. Kyler Murray, Cardinals (at Seahawks): If you are in the finals, it's despite Murray, not because of it, as he has been QB27 on a points-per-game basis the past four weeks (three games for Murray). It's another way to fight against the randomness of the schedule. It is what it is. Brady has fewer than 200 yards passing in three of his past four, so I'm looking elsewhere this week. He left a lot of his teammates high and dry and I'm pretty sure they haven't forgotten. The final playoff spot goes to the team with the highest point total among those not already in the playoffs. • Some sort of substitution protocol to protect against injury, like designating a bench player before the game who would be subbed in if one of your players gets hurt in the first three quarters. Tight ends I hate in Week 16. And Graham's QB is Russell Wilson. Le'Veon got what he wanted. For what it's worth, Matthew Berry's Love/Hate is now for ESPN+ members only. Freeman has 68% of the Falcons' running back rush attempts over the past three weeks, so I like his chances at having a top-12 day against a Jacksonville run defense that has been trucked for multiple rushing touchdowns in four of the past five games. ... Running backs I love in Week 16 Since the Patriots' Week 9 bye, Dion Lewis has scored at least 9.2 fantasy points in each game. Aaron Rodgers is not one of them. The two employees have grown to a workforce of 52. If you score enough points in the regular season, that should get you in. Breshad Perriman, Buccaneers (vs. Texans): So if you made the "leading WR for Tampa Bay in every game" into one player, that player would have 391.7 fantasy points. His response: "The last round, of course. He has made me look brilliant, he has made me look stupid and there's no rhyme or reason to it. He was on the "Love" list this preseason and has made either the "love" or "hate" part of this column multiple times each this season and throughout my writing career. This week is covered below in the Love/Hate portion of the column. This game features two teams that rank 22nd or worse in pace this season. This allows you to keep the fun of head-to-head play but removes some of the bad luck you might encounter when you put up a good score only to face an opponent who has Lamar Jackson the week he accounts for six touchdowns. Matthew Berry’s Love/Hate – Myth soccer sleepers, busts for Week 16. admin December 19, 2019 Sports Leave a comment 127 Views. I can't do much about the last one, sadly (although I have already agreed to be in at least one XFL fantasy league because I am a degenerate). Everything will change in a major way after free agency and the draft, of course. 1 receiver in fantasy, has 335.3 points. But with just nine catches this season, you need volume and a score for him to pay off. Matthew Berry's Love/Hate Week 12 is here to help. Joe Mixon, Bengals (at Dolphins): Mixon leads the NFL in both touches (54) and scrimmage yards (342) over the past two weeks, so those who hung tough with him during his early-season struggles have been rewarded. Too much variance and luck. No kickers. It increases the importance of quarterbacks, which better mirrors the NFL, since QB is the most important position in pro sports. The reason the Panthers are only 31st against the run the past four weeks is because the Rams have actually been worse. He sat out the season and got his money. Case in point: Four of Brady's past five games with fewer than 7.5 fantasy points came in Weeks 15-17. There's definite risk here. But do it fast because we've got this week and next year to get to. It's loosey-goosey math, but it sort of works because Perriman is most likely to be the No. Kenny Golladay, Lions (at Broncos): The Broncos are allowing just 2.5 deep completions per game this season (sixth fewest), an imposing matchup for Golladay with a third-string QB under center. Honestly, if you play with them, you should have defense be separate and have kickers be a part of special teams. As if their fantasy reporting team wasn't already going down in the dumps, they just made the last salvageable material a subscriber only feature. In getting a 20% target share from Haskins this season, McLaurin has been the 25th-best WR in fantasy on a points-per-game basis since coming out of the Redskins' bye in Week 11. It's more realistic (since that's most likely what you'd do in a live auction) but also fraught with peril, because what if others go big with their bids, too? Also, this is more work, but I like the Vickrey system on blind bidding, where the highest bidder wins but pays just $1 more than the next-highest bid. Lockett has six touchdown receptions in six home games. And then it can be first-come, first-served pickups after that or a waiver system. If you're in the finals, it's likely because of Jameis, so here we go. They rank seventh in pressure rate this season and Brown's four lowest point-per-target games this season have come against a defense that ranks seventh or better at bringing the heat. Clemson Tigers ... Love, Hate and career advice. It's also weird because kickers are a part of special teams. I tried to focus a little more on players about whom you might have to make a decision this week, since it's championship week. Despite all the turnovers, he is still averaging 355.8 passing yards per game (52.7 ahead of any other QB!). Last week, he joined Lamar Jackson as the only QBs with consecutive games of at least 32 points this season. It's Week 12 of the NFL season, with a game football feast on Thanksgiving Day, including a key divisional matchups in the NFC East and the annual appearance of the Detroit Lions. play. Since Kareem Hunt returned in Week 10, he has finished 17th or better at RB in five of six games, he has run 134 routes and caught 30 balls. Michael Thomas, the No. They rank seventh in pressure rate this season and Brown's four lowest point-per-target games this season have come against a defense that ranks seventh or better at bringing the heat. He also had zero fumbles lost. So in a 10-team league, you would play nine games every week. But I like his chances to turn it around here in a game with one of the highest over/unders on the slate. Truthfully, half-point PPR is the most fair way to go, but I enjoy full-point PPR more. ESPN projected points: 12.8 Sanders would be a Love for me this week even without Michael Thomas on the shelf. Now, he has needed an incredible one-handed catch for a touchdown and a long touchdown thanks to Avonte Maddox being out of position, but however he got there, he now has double-digit fantasy points in three of his past four games, and this is a dream matchup. It's Week 16. -- TMR. No WR has scored more than 18.8 points at Denver this season. It's filled with a ton of smart, well-known fantasy analysts. I have been playing in "super flex" leagues the past few years, and I really enjoy them. One, your championship match, which is either a one- or two-week playoff that starts Saturday. Need help filling out your fantasy football lineup? You know the drill. I'm not sure he goes off to that level on Monday night, but with Adam Thielen back and a banged-up running game I could see Minnesota taking more deep shots than usual against a Green Bay squad that is tied for the second-most completions of 40-plus yards allowed this season. And secondly, next year, the 2020 fantasy season. Editor's note: You can play with most of the customizations below in the ESPN Fantasy Football game, and we will look to add support for more of them in advance of next season. You see, I love fantasy football. The most important thing is to have fun, and everything else is secondary. People have different levels of tolerance, but you gotta have something to keep engagement high. Beckham has just two touchdowns this season and he has been held to fewer than six points in two of the past three. Berry's Love/Hate for Week 11. He has more receiving touchdowns than every active player who will play this weekend except Kenny Golladay. Opponents are completing deep passes this season vs. Kansas City at the third-lowest rate and completing red zone passes at the fifth-lowest rate. No vetoes unless there is clear collusion. Joe Mixon, Bengals (at Dolphins): Mixon leads the NFL in both touches (54) and scrimmage yards (342) over the past two weeks, so those who hung tough with him during his early-season struggles have been rewarded. ... Schefter's Cheat Sheet for 2020. That matters because Murray is a different QB when not feeling the pressure this season. It’s by no means too quickly. George Springer gets paid, but will it pay off for the Blue Jays? He was a top-seven QB five times from Weeks 5-11 (the only other QB who can claim that is Lamar Jackson). Marlon Mack looked, ahem, like anything but Marlon Mack last week. Six points for a touchdown pass. Most memorable officiating controversies for all 32 NFL teams, Should Philip Rivers make the Hall of Fame? Since Week 10, the Lions have allowed just 83.1 rushing yards per game (second fewest) and a league-low 3.1 yards per carry. If you have a rule suggestion for me, feel free to reach out to me on any of my various social accounts. It also allows more lineup flexibility and increases decision-making, which again helps with the variance. 2. 4y Matthew Berry. — Matthew Berry (@MatthewBerryTMR) November 12, 2020 Last week, before the wall went up, Berry's column also was late and he also had a long story he could not get into. The way to attack Baltimore this season has been from the slot, as the top three scoring WRs against the Ravens (Jamison Crowder, Jarvis Landry and Mohamed Sanu) all run the majority of their routes from the slot, and more underneath than anything. Make of this what you will, but four of Mixon's top five games this season have come on the road, with a strong chance to make it five of six with this visit to Miami. The Colts are home favorites by a touchdown, so I like Mack's chances to get back on track against the NFL's 31st-ranked run defense the past four weeks. Better to be honest, because they already know it (or will soon enough) and they will trust you more in negotiating. 4 overall). Most memorable officiating controversies for all 32 NFL teams, Should Philip Rivers make the Hall of Fame? And two of those came at home ... against the Bills. The ESPN Fantasy game already has this covered, but it's worth investigating if you play elsewhere. ... Much more of a DFS play or a super-desperate option in season-long leagues than anything, but Steven Sims Jr. has nine catches for 85 yards and a score in his past two weeks combined on the strength of 18 targets as one of the few healthy Redskins pass-catchers. I don't know what the Chargers are going to do with Gordon this week, but Ekeler will certainly be heavily involved against a Raiders team that allows the seventh-most receiving yards to opposing running backs and the third-most receiving touchdowns to RBs. For example, if it's a 12-team league, the six highest-scoring teams each week would get a win regardless of whether they won their head-to-head matchup. You love fantasy football. • I'm anti-kicker and team defense, but if you play with a team defense, it shouldn't be punished for its offense surrendering points (via pick-sixes, scoop-and-scores, for example). So in a 10-team league, you would play nine games every week. Others receiving votes: Something has to give. But I think he has a massive game. Also, I'm right. There's not much reason for optimism here. A man fell 120 feet to his death helping build SoFi Stadium. Michael Thomas, the No. While I know the yardage needs to be accounted for in official statistics, it could be placed in a miscellaneous team category so that it doesn't affect individual yardage totals and, thus, fantasy output. Despite all of that, it's worth noting Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott are the only QBs with more games of more than 18.5 points this season than Ryan. And Graham's QB is Russell Wilson. It's more realistic (since that's most likely what you'd do in a live auction) but also fraught with peril, because what if others go big with their bids, too? ... Two of Kirk Cousins' four best fantasy games with Minnesota have come against the Packers. In getting a 20% target share from Haskins this season, McLaurin has been the 25th-best WR in fantasy on a points-per-game basis since coming out of the Redskins' bye in Week 11. ... 16.1. That includes Lockett, who faces an Arizona team that allows the third-most catches and fifth-most yards to WRs this season. NFL experts debate his legacy, Colts' QB future, A quadruple doink, Saban vs. Kiffin and college football's best games of 2020: 50-26, College football winners and losers from NFL draft early-entry deadline, Why half the NBA can't trade their first-round pick right now. * Since Week 9, the Seahawks generate pressure at the lowest rate in the NFL (20.8%). Since Week 9, the Seahawks generate pressure at the lowest rate in the NFL (20.8%). You've gotta do an auction for your draft. Beckham was held to just two catches for 20 yards in the first meeting with the Ravens, and while he always has the chance to break a big one, Baltimore is the fourth-best defense in terms of deep touchdown percentage. But if ever there were a week for a Redskins wide receiver, this is it. Philip Rivers, LAC 17. Tom Brady, Patriots (vs. Bills): With just three total touchdown passes in his past five games against the Bills and an average of 216 passing yards per game, this does not bode well for Tom leading you to a title. Last week, in a favorable matchup with a positive game script (down two scores for the majority of the game), Golladay caught just three of seven targets for 44 yards in his first game since Marvin Jones Jr. was ruled out for the season. Matthew Berry's Fantasy Life. Derek Carr, OAK. But with just nine catches this season, you need volume and a score for him to pay off. Just once in his past six games has Rodgers been better than QB20. It also allows more lineup flexibility and increases decision-making, which again helps with the variance. I get it. Keep the "two-game" format for the playoffs, with total points being the tiebreaker. Ranking the NFL's non-quarterback MVPs: Can anyone top Aaron Donald? Always and forever. Despite all of that, it's worth noting Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott are the only QBs with more games of more than 18.5 points this season than Ryan. So, every week you will go 2-0, 1-1 or 0-2. Royce Freeman actually has run more routes than Lindsay since Week 7. He was on the "Love" list this preseason and has made either the "love" or "hate" part of this column multiple times each this season and throughout my writing career. I get the argument; I just don't like 'em. Before Week 9, Wilson averaged 307.3 passing yards, 3.71 passing TDs, and .86 INTs per game (three INTs in a week 7 game vs. Arizona). I hope he lays an egg. This is a tougher matchup than you'd think against a Chiefs defense that sees a version of Matt Nagy's offense in practice every week (Nagy is an Andy Reid disciple), but I like Trubisky as a deeper-league or two-QB-league play. He has at least 11 points in two of those three games and gets a Texans squad that, since Week 10, has given up the second-most points to opposing tight ends. And, you know, he plays the Giants. Matthew Berry's Love/Hate for Week 1: What's really important. Same theory. So if you reached the finals this week, it's in spite of him, not because of him. Others receiving votes: Don't look now, but over the past four weeks, Mitchell Trubisky ranks third in passing yards, fourth in rushing yards among QBs and sixth in fantasy points at the position. Need help with customized ranks for your scoring system, lineup setting tools, season-long projections and in-season trades? Everything will change in a major way after free agency and the draft, of course. In that time frame, Ravens opponents have completed 84% of passes to RBs, the fifth-highest rate in the NFL. Aaron Rodgers, Packers (at Vikings): Once. Week 16 Love/Hate: Berry's early top 50 fantasy rankings for 2021. With touch counts of 16, 18, 23, 26 and 28 in his past five games, Mixon is a solid RB1 this week. He has been the seventh-best RB on a per-game basis since Melvin Gordon came back. I think I'm right. In that time frame, Ravens opponents have completed 84% of passes to RBs, the fifth-highest rate in the NFL. Lockett has six touchdown receptions in six home games. The Colts are home favorites by a touchdown, so I like Mack's chances to get back on track against the NFL's 31st-ranked run defense the past four weeks. Nine times this season a Tampa Bay WR has had a weekly finish of sixth or better at the position and while there is definitely risk in playing him, there is also potential for a lot of upside against a Texans defense that allows TD catches to WRs at the 10th-highest rate and is a bottom-12 pass defense the past four weeks. Not year-round. Always and forever. You've gotta do an auction for your draft. If you score the most in your league, you go 9-0. This game features two teams that rank 22nd or worse in pace this season. When not pressured, Murray has a 70.6% completion rate, 4.3% TD rate, and a strong 3.4 TD-INT ratio (17 TDs, five INTs) in 394 attempts. Also, I'm right. Case in point: Four of Brady's past five games with fewer than 7.5 fantasy points came in Weeks 15-17. Thanks, as always, to "Thirsty" Kyle Soppe of the Fantasy Focus 06010 podcast and The Stat-a-Pillar of The Fantasy Show on ESPN+, Damian Dabrowski. Keep the "two-game" format for the playoffs, with total points being the tiebreaker. Alex Smith, KC 18. Ranking the NFL's non-quarterback MVPs: Can anyone top Aaron Donald? I am in the finals in six leagues this year, including the #DFBInvitational, a 33-man roster, 12-team dynasty super flex league with tight end premium scoring. I remember we had Blair Walsh, the former Vikings kicker, on the podcast a few years ago. But if there was, this would be it. He was definitely useful last week and certainly the volume has generally been there, with at least 16 touches in three of his past four games. Home » Lifestyle » Week 10 Love/Hate: Fighter pilot’s new career takes flight. Fantasy football managers finally know where they stand and can move on to figuring out lineups for the weekend, which already will extend to Tuesday. Have a loser punishment for last place, agreed on before the season by everyone. Terry McLaurin, Redskins (vs. Giants): Certainly this selection is fraught with peril, but every week Dwayne Haskins looks more and more comfortable. ... Anthony Miller has been nothing short of ridiculous lately (over the past five weeks he is WR8 with six or more catches in four of the past five), and while the Chiefs' defense has been a lot better recently, they really excel at stopping perimeter receivers, where they allow the league's lowest completion percentage and the seventh-lowest touchdown percentage. The Cardinals are a 9.5-point road underdog, so I expect Murray to be throwing to keep up with Seattle. 13. I have been playing in "super flex" leagues the past few years, and I really enjoy them. You're welcome. Also, the aforementioned Graham Barfield has Hollister on his team, along with Lockett. There's definite risk here. Heck, take two. It takes more skill, as it involves not only player evaluation but also reading the room, understanding changing market value in real time and resource allocation (how much to spend at each position). I propose one point for both the QB and the pass-catcher involved in the DPI if the penalty is 15 yards or fewer and two points for each player if it's more than 15 yards. The most important thing is to have fun, and everything else is secondary. Considering Cleveland is a double-digit underdog and the strength of the Ravens' secondary, I won't be surprised to see a lot of passing attempts and a lot of dump-offs to Hunt. It's loosey-goosey math, but it sort of works because Perriman is most likely to be the No. And what you might expect to be an easy matchup with Detroit is much tougher than you think upon closer inspection. Odell Beckham Jr., Browns (vs. Ravens): OBJ is one of the biggest non-injury-related fantasy busts this season (at least in terms of games missed), as there are 34 WRs who have a higher average weekly finish than Beckham this season (including Cole Beasley!). Thanks, as always, to "Thirsty" Kyle Soppe of the Fantasy Focus 06010 podcast and The Stat-a-Pillar of The Fantasy Show on ESPN+, Damian Dabrowski. Freeman has 68% of the Falcons' running back rush attempts over the past three weeks, so I like his chances at having a top-12 day against a Jacksonville run defense that has been trucked for multiple rushing touchdowns in four of the past five games. • Some sort of substitution protocol to protect against injury, like designating a bench player before the game who would be subbed in if one of your players gets hurt in the first three quarters. Mets GM acknowledges sending explicit images, Michael Thomas, Ryan Tannehill among most common players on fantasy playoff teams in Week 16, Pick up these five players to stash in keeper leagues, Last-minute pickups for Week 16, including Ryan Fitzpatrick, Anthony Miller. The Panthers are only 31st against the Packers me this week. they will trust more... You are dealing but with just nine catches this season but also because their run defense terrific! 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